Winnings Ways racing analyst Damon Anderson has put Admire Ratki on top for tomorrows but produces tips for all the days racing.
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''The Cup is difficult enough with the massive field of 23 and mixture of seen and unseen internationals against the locals.
The top raters detailed are from our time form, distance predictor and based on solid tempo speed maps.
We’ve rated the journey at 3min 18sec on a good Flemington track and these have the abilities to get within two seconds of the time.
I’ve spoken to a couple of respected punters who have told me they are avoiding the Flemington meeting completely, they feel too much favours the bookmakers.
We’ll have the complete set of metro raters out by 9am tomorrow morning.
Enjoy the spectacle and consider the punt risks always increase the bigger the fields.
Damon Anderson
Winning Ways Tuesday 4 November 2014
Flemington 195 horses compete for 10 win cheques
- Race 1 10.30am 1-12-14-2 field of 20
- Race 2 11.10am 1-8-6-3 field of 15
- Race 3 11.50am 3-5-18-11 field of 20
- Race 4 12.30am 1-2-5-8 field of 19
- Race 5 1.15pm 1-20-16-5 field of 20
- Race 6 2.00pm 2-4-1-3 field of 16
- Race 7 3.00pm 1-22-5-11/24 field of 24
- Race 8 3.55pm 9-2-16-12 field of 17
- Race 9 4.35pm 11-8-4-1 field of 24
- Race 10 5.15pm 5-19-3-2/6 field of 20
Melbourne Cup
Race 7 at 3pm top ten raters
- 1 Admire Rakti 103
- 22 Lucia Valentina 102.5
- 5 Protectionist 102.5
- 11 Mutual Regard 102
- 24 Signoff 102
- 3 Fawkner 101.5
- 4 Red Cadeaux 101.5
- 14 My Ambivalent 101.5
- 21 Araldo 100
- 8 Junoob 100
Winning Ways Tuesday 4 November 2014
Randwick
- Race 1 11.35am 3-5-2-1 field of 10
- Race 2 12.15pm 3-2-1-7 field of 8
- Race 3 12.50pm 4-10-1-9 field of 12
- Race 4 1.35pm 1-5-2-3 field of 9
- Race 5 2.25pm 5-6-9-1/4 field of 15
- Race 6 3.32pm 5-1-9-6 field of 10
- Race 7 4.13pm 9-6-3-2/7 field of 15
- Race 8 4.53pm 6-13-2-12 field of 15
- Race 9 5.33pm 1-6-17-7-3/5 field of 20
Doomben
- Race 1 12.20pm 2-4-3-5 field of 6
- Race 2 1.03pm 5-1-3-2 field of 7
- Race 3 1.48pm 4-3-7-1 field of 7
- Race 4 2.40pm no ratings field of 13
- Race 5 3.45pm 5-8-13/3-9 field of 15
- Race 6 4.25pm 5-1-4-6 field of 11
- Race 7 5.05pm 10-1-5-8 field of 12
- Race 8 5.47pm 5-7-4-3 field of 11
Sea Moon has been scratched from Tuesdays Melbourne Cup.
The line-up for Tuesday's Melbourne Cup is:
- 1. Admire Ratki (Z.Purton), barrier 8 $4
- 2. Cavalryman (C.Williams), barrier 3 $26
- 3. Fawkner (N.Hall), barrier 9 $9
- 4. Red Cadeaux (G.M.Mosse), barrier 15 $16
- 5. Protectionist (R.Moore), barrier 11 $8
- 6. Sea Moon - Scratched.
- 7. Seismos (C.Newitt), barrier 1 $26
- 8. Junoob (H.Bowman), barrier 7 $26
- 9. Royal Diamond (S.W.Arnold), barrier 6 $41
- 10. Gatewood (W.Buick), barrier 22 $51
- 11. Mutual Regard (D.Oliver), barrier 12 $13
- 12. Who Shot Thebarman (G.Boss), barrier 13 $ 26
- 13. Willing Foe (J.B.McDonald), barrier 17 $41
- 14. My Ambivalent (A.Atzeni), barrier 4 $41
- 15. Precedence (M.Rodd), barrier 20 $61
- 16. Brambles (L.Nolen), barrier 21 $26
- 17. Mr O'Ceirin (M.J.Zahra), barrier 19 $151
- 18. Au Revoir (G.Schofield), barrier 23 $41
- 19. Lidari (B.J Melham), barrier 10 $26
- 20. Opinion (T.Angland), barrier 14 $41
- 21. Araldo (D.Dunn), barrier 24 $26
- 22. Lucia Valentina (K.McEvoy), barrier 2 $7
- 23. Unchain My Heart (D.Yendall), barrier 6$201
- 24. Signoff (J.Moeira), barrier 16 $6
5.15 : The tab.com.au stakes wraps up the action at Flemington and it's Deep Field. 6-2-4. Dwayne Dunn rides for Team Hawkes.
5.13 : The Myer Benchmark handicap at Dubbo goes to 7-4-6. Dar Lunn trains Perfect Cadence to victory.
5.05 : Its all about Deep Field at $1.80 in the last at the TAB.COM.AU Stakes.
4.54 : Race 7 Rosehill: 1-3 -6-2 6.70 -2.10 the winner. Hera scoring for Kris Lees
.
4.51 : 90,244 at Flemington today. 27 horses paid up for the Cup, final field expected soon. 6-9-4-5 from our tipster in the last race at Melbourne.
4.50 : Next in Sydney coming up : 6-7-3-1 from our tipster, he's been having a good day at Rosehill.
4.35 : 6-9-4-5 from our tipster in the next at Flemington
4.31 : Myer Classic : 6-1-2 Bonaia for Pat Hyland and Michael Rodd, Sweet Idea and Catkins third. 7 fourth. $34.00 and 8.10 the winner in NSW. Great racing name Pat Hyland a former jockey.
4.28 : At Dubbo : 9-8-6 Race 4 . Basic Model gets there for Garry Lun and Joe Saiki.
4.27 : 6, 1 and 3 - 5 at Rosehill race 6. here's the replay.
4.25 : Myer Classic- May's Dream is the favourite ($4.70) ahead of Catkins, Sweet idea.for the next at Flemington.
4.20 : Rosehill back on track. Will go at 4.26
4.13 : Wild weather at Rosehill Thunderstorms have hit the track and flattened the rail.
4.00 : 1-2-4-13 in the Myer Classic says our tipster in the next at Flemington in Sydney he has tipped 3-6-2-10
3.51 : VRC Derby goes to - 13 Preferment for Damien Oliver (his fifth Derby) Its Chris Waller 13- 9-7-8..7.20 and 2.20 for the winner, 3.10 for the second horse Bondieger and Nozomi 7.30, Light Up Manhattan 4th. Hampton Court the favourite had the lead but couldn't run on, Here is the replay..back to back wins for Ollie.
3.43 : Ready for the VRC Derby. Its big money for Hampton Court.
3.42 : The Milestone Orana handicap goes to Tyson's Tiger at Dubbo numbers 2-4-5-3.
3.38 : Hampton Court is still favourite for the Derby as they begin to get ready.
3.28 : 4-9-5-8 at Rosehill Race 5. Chris Waller gets another one.
3.16 : VRC Derby latest : Hampton Court is $2.50, ahead of Preferment 5.80, Atmosphere 9.10, Moonover Manhattan 9,30
Great colour at Flemington heading toward the big one the VRC Derby.
3.12 : Our tipster likes 1-3-4-10 in the next at Rosehill.
3.05 : Our tipster in the VRC Derby likes - 1-2-13-9.
3.03 : LKS Mackinnon Stakes goes to - Happy Trails for Damien Oliver (5.90 and 2.30) his 5th Mackinnon in a photo finish over He's Your Man (2.30) and Farraj 3rd (4.30) what a race. Here is the replay thanks to TVN.
2.54 : Race 2 at Dubbo the Star FM Plate - 10-2-8. Spanish Fly for who else than Greg Ryan. Clint Lundhom the trainer.
2.45 : Latest LKS MacKinnon Stakes betting : Criterion still favourite at 5.20 over HappyTrails 5.50, He's Your Man 6.20 and Rising Romance.
2.37 : 4-7 and 2 Race 4 at Rosehill 2.60 and 1.30 the winner, 1.60 second. Here's the replay thanks to TVN.
2.29 : Sydney 4 is ahead 4-7-5-6 from our tipster here. But a delay because of lightning
2.27 : Criterion the favourite for the LKS at 5.20 just from Happy Trails 5.50, He's Your Man 6.20 and Rising Romance 6.40
2.25 : 3-13-2-15 Our man's tips in the LKS Mackinnon Stakes.
2.19 : Lexus Stakes and 9-1-6-8. Its Jo Moreira gets his second win of the day with the favourite ( 2.30 and 1.40) over Big Memory 2.60 and 2.70 for La Amistad ( 2.70). Signoff now headed to the Melbourne Cup.
2.13 : 5-7-9-10 at Dubbo Race 1. The Macquarie Inns Hcp. Kody and Peter Nestor combine to win.
2.03 : Signoff is getting plenty of money invested. Our man likes 9-13-2-6
1.55 : Signoff the favourite for the Lexus Stakes into 2.40.
1.52 : 4-3-5-1 across the line Race 3 Sydney.
1.44 : Race 3 at Rosehill coming up : 4-3-5-2 from our tipster
Some of the colour from our partners at The Age
1.38 : Singoff 2.70 ahead of Caravan Rolls On 5.60 for the Lexus.
1.35 : Melbourne Cup guide races coming the Lexus Stakes over 2500m is next at Flemington. Our man likes 9-13-2-6.
1.29 : The Coolmore Stakes goes to - 2-9-8. Jo Moreira rides beautifully to capture Brazen Beau victory (7.90 and 2.60) for Chris Waller, over Delectation 11.60 and Kuro 2.50. Rich Enuff down the track.
Moving up at Flemington Rich Enuff the hot favourite will be a great story if it wins.
The movie stars are out at Flemington.
1.23 : Rich Enuff still the favourite for the Coolmore.
1.15 : Rich Enuff is the favourite for the Coolmore Stud Stakes at Flemington 3.50 ahead of Kuro 6.80, Rubick 6.20, Kuro 6.80, Earthquake 7.30
1.12 : Hampton Court is at $2.70 for the VRC Derby this afternoon.
1.11 : 1-2-5 at Rosehill Race 2- Winona Costin brings Mohave home.
1.01 : 1-5-2-8 from our analyst in Coolmore stakes.
12.50 : The Yellow Glen Stakes at Flemington goes to 4 Hucklebuck. 4-2-3-7 across the line. Thanks to TVN here's the replay.
12.49 : Rosehill Race 2 Our tipster likes : 1-2-4-3.
12.47 : Hucklebuck 3.20 favourite for the next at Flemington.
12.45 : Winning Ways analyst has tipped these for Dubbo's Derby Day.
- R3 n 1 Ten to Zero
- R4 n9 Basic Model
- R5 n4 Infinite Bliss
- R6 n1 Just Snooping – will be short but best for the day
12.43 : Hucklebuck all the rage for Race 3 at Flemington at 3.20 ahead of General Life . 3-4-2-9 our man's thoughts.
12.32 : It blew out late but our tipster had it in his chances. Single Gaze for Kathy O'Hara 36.70 and 8.90 over 4 and 2 at Rosehill Race 1. This is the long shot got there in Race 1 in Sydney.
12.25 : Our tipster likes 3-4-2-9 Race 3 at Flemington.
12.24 : Rosehill race 1 coming up : 3-2-1-7 from our tipster.
12.21 : 3-4-2-9 Yellowglen stakes from our tipster.
12.10 : The Wakeful Stakes run and won. Across the line - 12-3-9 . Its a double for Blake Shinn at 36.90 and 6.50, 3 paid $1.40, 9 2.40
Replay thanks to TVN of the Wakeful Stakes.
12.00 : Race 2 Flemington coming up. Abduction is favourite here steady at 2.90
11.45 : Abduction is favourite for the Wakeful Stakes at 2.90 on the NSW TAB ahead of Fontein Ruby (3.70) and Fenway (7.30)
11.40 : Our Analyst in Race 2 The Wakeful Stakes likes 1-9-3-5.
11.34 : Across the line race 1 Flemington - 7-2-5 . Kermadec for Blake Shinn and Chris Waller at $5.40 and 1.90, 1.90 for Straum Star, 5 3.50. Replay Race 1 Flemington.
11.33 : The Carbine Stakes- Wandjina maybe taken out in race 1..yes it has withdrawn.
11.22 : Getting ready for the first on Derby Day. Azkadelli is favourite at 3.90. Money coming for it.
The gates are open where up to 100,000 people are expected for the Derby Day meeting at Flemington. Fashions on the fields are underway at Flemington.
Red Cadeaux is a strong chance in Tuesday's Melbourne Cup.
Latest track info at Flemington
11.15 : Race 1 at Flemington is ahead the Carbine Club stakes. Selections below. The TAB has Azkadellia favourite at 3.90 ahead of Stratum Star 6.40, Wandinja 8.00.
11.00 : 7 Unchain My Heart has been withdrawn from the Race 5 The Lexus Stakes. Its a late scratching.Lord Van Percy was taken out earlier today.
9.39 : VRC Derby Day selections by our analyst Damon Anderson.
- Race 1 11,30am G3 Carbine over 1600m, large field alert of 15
- 15 1x12 AZKADELLIA (NZ) Joao Moreira 6 53kg
- 7 12 KERMADEC (NZ) Blake Shinn 2 55kg
- 1 2x11311x16 OUR VESPA (NZ) Craig Williams 1 56.5kg
- 2 6700x31211 STRATUM STAR Brad Rawiller 9 56kg
- The Punters Mate “ many assumptions here, n15 a min weight in the mix” PUNT RISK EXTREME
- Race 2 12.10pm G2 fillies over 2000m, field of 12
- 1 736x311511 FONTEIN RUBY Mark Zahra 12 57kg
- 9 14 FENWAY Damien Oliver 1 55kg
- 3 4x1214 ABDUCTION Kerrin McEvoy 7 55.5kg
- 5 59x51131 MUSCOVADO James McDonald 9 55kg
- The Punters Mate “ top rater should figure, has been in tougher last two” PUNT RISK MODERATE
- Race 3 12.50pm G3 Yellowglen over 1400m, field of 12
- 3 3713111x43 GENERALIFE Kerrin McEvoy 2 57kg
- 4 2x118x46x1 HUCKLEBUCK Dom Tourneur 9 56kg
- 2 78x711x704 ALMA’S FURY Michael Rodd 1 57.5kg
- 9 x1210x1135 TURQUOISE KING Dwayne Dunn 10 54kg
- The Punters Mate “ surely n3 will get some luck in running, last two results very unfair” PUNT RISK MODERATE
- Race 4 1.30pm G1 Coolmore Stakes over 1200m, massive field alert of 16
- 1 3x1112 RICH ENUFF Michael Rodd 10 56.5kg
- 5 114x1 RUBICK Kerrin McEvoy 1 56.5kg
- 2 15x122x51 BRAZEN BEAU Joao Moreira 15 56.5kg
- 8 165x1111 KURO (NZ) Blake Shinn 16 56.5kg
- The Punters Mate “n14, n15,n16 all rated 97.5- this is a lottery for punters many chances” PUNT RISK EXTREME
- Race 5 2.15pm G3 Lexus over 2500m, large field alert of 13
- 9 1111x03923 SIGNOFF (IRE) Joao Moreira 3 56.5kg
- 13 114873x424 MORE THAN SACRED Glen Boss 2 56.5kg
- 2 420x31x951 CARAVAN ROLLS ON (GB) Craig Williams 1 58kg
- 6 8111x37402 LA AMISTAD Dwayne Dunn 4 56.5kg
- The Punters Mate “rating n9 will go ok at distance, others set for this so a little wary” PUNT RISK HIGH
- Race 6 3.00pm G1 MacKinnon Stakes over 2000m, large field alert of 15
- 3 5389x43185 FORETELLER (GB) Glen Boss 10 59kg
- 13 2811x37227 CRITERION (NZ) Corey Brown 1 58.5kg
- 2 412x582056 HAPPY TRAILS Damien Oliver 13 59kg
- 15 12241x4722 RISING ROMANCE (NZ) James McDonald 12 56.5kg
- The Punters Mate “solid temp expected, many stoking up the last 300m, busy finish” PUNT RISK EXTREME
- Race 7 3.45pm G1 Victorian Derby over 2500m, massive field alert of 16
- 1 2710x83411 HAMPTON COURT Kerrin McEvoy 11 55.5kg
- 2 1x04271 MOONOVERMANHATTAN Craig Newitt 12 55.5kg
- 13 732242 PREFERMENT (NZ) Damien Oliver 6 55.5kg
- 9 3x2117 BONDEIGER James Winks 1 55.5kg
- The Punters Mate “top rater ran record time over 2000m last start, drops a kilo” PUNT RISK MODERATE
- Race 8 4.30pm G1 Myer over 1600m, massive field alert of 16
- 1 11729x1241 SWEET IDEA Tommy Berry 1 57kg
- 2 1316x4x123 CATKINS Damien Oliver 8 57kg
- 4 8x4131x734 MAY’S DREAM Brad Rawiller 11 57kg
- 13 x194226x11 STAR FASHION Michael Walker 2 57kg
- The Punters Mate “on ratings there are six within a length, this is the Valley so caution” PUNT RISK EXTREME
- Race 9 5.15pm G3 handicap over 1200m, field of 11
- 6 11x11 DEEP FIELD Dwayne Dunn 12 54kg
- 9 1x43394x12 THAT’S A GOOD IDEA Kerrin McEvoy 10 53.5kg
- 4 x1213x2321 IN CAHOOTS Damien Oliver 6 55.5kg 102 95
- 5 22x11211x4 BIG MONEY Robert Thompson 2 54kg
- The Punters Mate “n6 is still on the up. This toughest test but quality horse” PUNT RISK MODERATE
- Meeting Best Rater race 9 no 6 DEEP FIELD
9.37 : Latest TAB Market for the VRC Derby
Hampton Court 2.60, Preferment 6.20, Atmosphere 8.80, MoonOverManhatten 10.10
9.29 : Key market movers for today's big races. We begin with the LKS Mackinnon Stakes - this is where the money is going
- Happy Trails $9 - $9.50 - $7.50 ($600 @ $8.50), Foreteller $11 - $9.50 - $10 ($1000 @ $9.50), Moriarty $21 - $31 - $21 ($500 e/w @ $26/$7.25), Brambles ($1000 x $2000 @ $13/$4), He’s Your Man $6 - $5 - $5.50($1000 @ $6, $600 @ $5), Farraaj $21 - $26 - $11 ($500 x $600 @ $13/$4), Amralah $18 - $9, Criterion($2000 & $1100 @ $5.50).
VRC Derby
- Hampton Court $2.80 - $2.60 - $2.65 - $2.60 ($3600 & $1000 [twice] @ $2.80, $10000, $4000 & $1000 @ $2.70, $2000 & $1000 [thrice] @ $2.60, $3000 & $1000 @ $2.65, $1000 @ $2.60), Moonovermanhattan $9 - $9.50 - $8.50 ($600 e/w @ $9/$2.82, $1000 @ $9), Firehouse Rock ($2000 x $2500 @ $21/$5.57, $950 x $1400 @ $26/$6.71), Magicool $21 - $19 ($1500 @ $21, $1000 e/w [twice] @ $21/$5.57), Preferment ($2000 @ $5.50, $2000 @ $6).
8 Myer Classic
- Sweet Idea $6 - $6.50 - $5.50 ($2000 & $600 @ $.50), Diamond Drille $15 - $16 - $12 ($1500 @ $16, $1000 x $2000 @ $13/$4), May’s Dream $6 - $4.60 - $5 ($1000 @ $5.50, $700 @ $4.80), Forever Loved ($600 x $1400 @ $26/$7.25), Star Fashion $11 - $14 - $11, Neena Rock $13 - $8.50 ($400 e/w [twice] @ $13/$4, $450 e/w @ $11/$3.50, $500 @ $9.50).
9 TAB.com.au stakes
- Driefontein $18 - $26 - $18 ($400 e/w @ $26/$4.84), Deep Field $1.60 - $1.65 - $1.55 ($2000 @ $1.65, $10000 & $1500 @ $1.60, $5000, $2000 & $1700 @ $1.55), Éclair Big Bang $12 - $15 - $11 - $13 ($400 x $1500 @ $15/$3.15).
9.15 : Hello and Welcome to our coverage of Derby Day at Flemington. Here are the latest scratchings and track information.
- Rail: True Position Entire Circuit Penetrometer: 4.73
- Weather: Showers Track Rating: Good 3
- Track Type: Turf Total Scratchings: 13
- 7:45am - (Inside Peno 4.79, Outside Peno 4.79)
- Irrigation: Nil last 24hrs, 14mm last 7 days
- Rainfall: 4mm last 24hrs, 27.4mm last 7 days
- Track Information: Late Vets Scratching Race 5 No. 3 LORD VAN PERCY lame off fore
- Rail Position Last Meeting
- +9m Entire Circuit
Scratchings
- Race 1: 10 STITCH ME UP (31/10 1403VC)
- Race 2: 13 VIA CAVOUR (31/10 0901VC)
- Race 3: 12 SPY DECODER (NZ) (31/10 2225)
- 13 RAINBOW GOLD (NZ) (30/10 1159)
- Race 5: 10 MARKSMANSHIP (IRE) (01/11 0728VC)
- Race 6: 1 SIDE GLANCE (GB) (30/10 0955VC)
- Race 7: 17e VERREAUX (NZ) (Eliminated)
- Race 8: 17e GIRL IN FLIGHT (Eliminated)
- 18e ZONZA (NZ) (Eliminated)
- 19e QUAYSIDE (Eliminated)
- 20e MAHARA (Eliminated)
- Race 9: 3 AERONAUTICAL (30/10 0815VC)
- Late Scratchings
- Race 5: 3 LORD VAN PERCY (GB) (Late Vets: 0830)
Early thought for Flemington Saturday .
Forget the niceties the fact is Melbourne racing hates horses from Sydney a tradition documented in thousands of races there for well over a century.
Flemington Saturday two Sydney boom youngsters take on Australia’s finest and are well placed to extract over $1 million from the abundant Cup carnival prize pool.
Race 7
The wagering agencies for $1.5m G1 VRC Derby over 2500m quite rightly have Hampton Court a firm $2.60 favourite. His win in the G1 Champion Stakes in record time was simply stunning and to add to his credentials he drops a kilo. Time lines alone horses likeMoonovermanhattan and Preferment (who is yet to win a race) will both need significant improvements to threaten the form of Hampton Court.
Race 9
And while the racing fan “sprint fever” has somewhat plateaued Sydney training team Hawkes have the undefeated Deep Field well prepared to take down many experienced and multiple Group winners in the last race of the day at 5.15pm.
His four starts have a combined winning margin of over 23 lengths and while this will be by far his toughest race to date he has yet to be fully extended.
The charge up the Flemington straight looks the only query as he will be charging down the outside part of the track…..punters are on an hourly vigil to ensure this running lane is not doctored and Deep Field keeps his record intact.
The Punters Mate – Winning Ways
Race 6
Crystal Ball eyes Foreteller at big odds
$1m MacKinnon Stakes over 2000m
Several here should enjoy better racing fairness and being on a decent race track after unhappy last starts at Moonee Valley.
Eye catching were Side Glance and Foreteller who did great work late with limited opportunities. Criterion is also a much better horse than appears in the results column another smashed by inferior racing that happens at the Valley.
The Punters Mate on early mail review has an edge to Foreteller who had more bad luck than Side Glance in running and just missed in the Cox Plate.
One thing is for certain this field will have a better opportunity to show their abilities than they did last start.
The Punters Mate – Winning Ways
